OLD CROP CORN & BEANS SELL SIGNAL & HEDGE ALERT
This alert is for old crop corn and soybeans.
This alert is not for new crop soybeans. However, for new crop corn it depends on your situation.
Who is this alert for?
Old Crop Corn:
This is specifically for those of you with a short time frame for making sales. You should be considering proper risk management here.
Whether that is puts for downside protection, selling grain and re-owning with a call or simply making a sale.
If you have questions feel free to reach out.
Jeremey: (605)250-3863
Lauren: (806)391-7178
Why the alert?
It is for a few reasons.
The 1st is we have the USDA report on Tuesday. That offers risk.
The 2nd is we are approaching our target and key resistance on March corn.
$4.37 claws back 50% of the highs from November. This same level is our old key support (black lines).
The rally off harvest lows clawed back 50% of the highs from February before failing. That same level was old key support in the spring (blue lines).
The 3rd is that seasonally the second half of February does tend to be weak for corn with first notice day.
Here is the seasonal pattern for May corn to give you a good visual. We tend to struggle going into March and first notice day.
Corn has actually traded lower the last 8 of 11 years from February 14th until the end of the month.
Here is the data.
New Crop Corn:
Often times we like to wait for insurance pricing.
However, if you are someone who does not have storage etc this is not the worst spot to start new crop sales or protection.
Dec corn clawed back exactly 61.8% of the entire sell off. The most common level. It’s also prior support. Struggling here would not be a surprise.
Old Crop Soybeans:
Soybeans have passed the first golden zone target, now approaching a secondary target.
May and July soybeans have clawed back 78.6% of the November highs.
March soybeans are getting close to the 78.6% level as well.
If we take out the 78.6% level the next target is the November highs.
We like rewarding this rally in some sort of manner for old crop.
Whether that is grabbing puts and keeping your upside open, selling grain and re-owning with a call, or simply making a cash sale.
New Crop Soybeans:
This alert is not for new crop.
As Nov soybeans are still at the original target from our sell signal earlier this week.
Given that front month beans have led heavily while Nov beans have lagged behind.
Past Sell or Protection Signals
Feb 4th: 🌱
Soybean sell signal & hedge alert.
Dec 11th: 🐮
Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.
Dec 5th: 🐮
Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.
Nov 17th: 🌱
Soybean sell signal & hedge alert.
Nov 13th: 🌽 🌱
Managing risk in corn & beans ahead of USDA report.
Oct 28th: 🌽
Corn sell signal & hedge alert.
Oct 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell signal & hedge alert.
Oct 13th: 🐮
Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.
Aug 22nd: 🌱
Soybean sell signal & hedge alert.
July 31st: 🐮
Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.
July 10th: 🐮
Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
June 5th: 🐮
Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.
June 2nd: 🌾
MPLS wheat sell signal.
April 10th: 🌽
Old crop corn sell signal.
March 19th: 🐮
Cattle hedge & sell signal.
Feb 18th: 🌽 🌾
Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.
Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans old crop sell signal.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.
Jan 2nd: 🐮
Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.
Dec 11th: 🌽
Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Oct 2nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target
Sep 30th: 🌽
Corn protection signal at $4.23-26
Sep 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65
Sep 13th: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $5.98
May 22nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00
Want to Talk?
Our phones are open 24/7 for you guys if you ever need anything or want to discuss your operation.
Hedge Account
Interested in a hedge account? Use the link below to set up an account or shoot Jeremey a call at (605)295-3100.