USDA FRIDAY

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Grains take it on the chin but no damage

  • Still sitting at support on the charts

  • Watching the corn spread movement

  • Inverses vs carry in markets. Why it matters

  • MPLS at a discount to other wheats this year

  • Very wide range of yield guesses. 9 bpa range

  • Lot of comparisons to 2010

  • USDA claims we have extra corn. Why?

  • Risk is that USDA doesn’t lower yield much

  • I personally think report should be friendly

  • Be comfortable with whatever USDA does

  • How to get comfortable in your situation

  • Who should have downside protection?

  • If someone has to deliver vs has stuff sold

  • What type of move are options implying?

  • Conditions dropping at harvest might be a clue

  • In a few months we will know this crop

  • Currently there are still plenty of unknowns

  • What is going to happen with demand?

  • Being patient in marketing if you can. If you are going to be backed into a corner you need to spread that risk out

Listen to today’s audio below

10-7-2026

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TOMORROW’S USDA WILL BE CRUCIAL

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HAVE GRAINS FOUND A BOTTOM?