EFFECTS OF DEMAND & BEANS AT CRUCIAL SPOT

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Very crucial spot in soybeans (chart below)*

  • Soybeans have major upside potential and downside risk

  • There is a lot riding on South America weather soon

  • The effects of the Argy tax cuts

  • Long term demand picture

  • Crops are definitely smaller

  • How high we go depends on demand

  • 2011 comparisons floating around

  • Still close to corn signal (chart below)*

  • Still believe wheat has upside (chart below)*

  • Do funds want to jump behind China story or lack of supply story in soybeans?

  • Have a game plan for basis contracts

  • Seasonals say soybeans go lower short term

  • Be proactive if you’re in a corner

Listen to today’s audio below

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GRAIN CHARTS

Dec Corn 🌽

Bouncing at some support here in this blue box. Getting a re-test after the bullish pennant breakout. Would like to see us hold the blue box.

Target is still $4.35 as has been for weeks now.

Nov Beans 🌱

Soybeans fighting for their life. Trying to hang on to this must hold spot.

$10.12 gives back 61.8% of the rally off $9.80

Today we bounced +7 cents off the the lows and closed right at that 61.8% level.

Either we bounce right now, or if we close back below $10.12 we have a gap of air to the downside towards the $9.90 range.

Very very important spot here.

Dec Wheat 🌾

Bouncing right at the bottom of this channel once again.

We are still showing some very clear massive bullish divergence.

The level to watch is still $5.35.

If we clear that level we can be confident we are ready to turn higher.


Past Sell or Protection Signals

Aug 22nd: 🌱

Soybean sell signal & hedge alert.

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July 31st: 🐮 

Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.

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July 10th: 🐮 

Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.

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June 5th: 🐮 

Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.

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June 2nd: 🌾

MPLS wheat sell signal.

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April 10th: 🌽 

Old crop corn sell signal.

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March 19th: 🐮 

Cattle hedge & sell signal.

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Feb 18th: 🌽 🌾 

Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.

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Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱 

Corn & beans old crop sell signal.

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Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱 

Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.

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Jan 2nd: 🐮 

Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.

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Dec 11th: 🌽

Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA

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Oct 2nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target

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Sep 30th: 🌽 

Corn protection signal at $4.23-26

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Sep 27th: 🌱 

Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65

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Sep 13th: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $5.98

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May 22nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00

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WHEN WILL CORN DEMAND TRAIN SLOW DOWN?

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ARGY NEWS BLOOD BATH