POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES, BASIS CONTRACTS & STRATEGIES
AUDIO COMMENTARY
The long weekends that can move the market
Weather is a mixed wild card right now
Don’t like doing much marketing in April
Entire corn belt very wet next 2 weeks
Forecasts for summer super dry currently
Wheat crop south doesn’t look good so far
The question with delayed planting is always will it be enough to effect yield or change acres
Don’t like selling at prices we don’t like
Still tremendous possible upside but define risk
What should you do with basis contracts?
What options do you have with basis contracts?
Your strategy if you’re backed in a corner
Charts in consolidation period (charts below)*
China doesn’t dictate grain prices
Canola somehow higher than before tariffs
How to properly utilize hedge accounts
Don’t give advantages to big ag
Why to not use HTAs in demand driven market
Sink or swim short term for beans (chart below)*
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CHART BREAKDOWNS
July Corn 🌽
Back above key support and stalling out exactly where we thought we would after hitting that short term target and reclaiming 61.8% of the sell off (most common retracement).
Bulls want to hold $4.83
Otherwise if we break below, we likely drop to $4.69 to $4.75
To the upside, next big target is $5.23 to $5.26
The Feb highs and 161.8% (golden fib) of this recent rally.
Dec Corn 🌽
Bulls want to hold the green box, that was old key resistance.
Big picture, next major target is $4.84 to $4.89 after hitting our short term target.
July Beans 🌱
Sink or swim time short term for beans.
Trapped between the 100 & 200-day MAs.
Break below, we go and test that key support box which is also 50-61.% of this rally.
Break above, and the upside is wide open.
As we have not broke above since 2023.
Nov Beans 🌱
Same chart set up in Nov beans as July.
Trapped between the 100 & 200-day.
Break above or below gives us our next move.
July Chicago 🌾
Trapped in this downward channel.
This doesn’t have to play out exactly, but the drawing is what makes the most sense.
Either way, next resistance is top of channel.
July KC 🌾
Sitting right at key support we’ve held for 8 months.
Next resistance is those Feb highs for a 3rd time.
Past Sell or Protection Signals
We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.
April 10th: 🌽
Old crop corn sell signal.
March 19th: 🐮
Cattle hedge & sell signal.
Feb 18th: 🌽 🌾
Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.
Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans old crop sell signal.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.
Jan 2nd: 🐮
Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.
Dec 11th: 🌽
Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Oct 2nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target
Sep 30th: 🌽
Corn protection signal at $4.23-26
Sep 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65
Sep 13th: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $5.98
May 22nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00
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Check Out Past Updates
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4/1/25
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3/31/25
USDA REPORT: NOW WHAT?
3/28/25
ALL EYES ON USDA
3/27/25
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3/26/25
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