CAPTURING INVERSE & SEASONAL PREPARATION

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Corn & beans ran off their lows

  • New lows in the wheat market

  • Despite new lows, Chicago wheat still holding key support levels (chart below)*

  • The sell off in wheat feels over done

  • Cheaper US dollar should add long term support

  • Good buy area for wheat

  • Should you be selling any beans?

  • Don’t like selling a ton of new crop yet still

  • Balance sheets can still get tight

  • Record yield yet tighter S&D on beans

  • Likely making sales when you’re super busy & worried about the crop

  • Want to have some sales made & take some risk off by June 20th seasonal highs

  • Don’t give away July-Sep corn inverse

  • Stay away from free DP. It is one of the most expensive things you can do

  • When to consider using basis contracts & how to price them

  • Need to be able to take advantage of inverses

Listen to today’s audio below

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CHARTS

July Corn 🌽

Nearly touched the golden zone box. Still not ruling out a drop to there. But friendly candle today.

Overall, long term upward bias remains intact as long as that blue box holds.

Further drop or not, next big target still remains $5.23-26

Dec Corn 🌽

We rejected right off that short term target.

Bulls really want to hold this level red box to keep the upward bias higher here.

This red box is the golden zone retracement of this rally (meaning we gave back 50-61.8% of the rally). It is a standard correction level. But want to hold here.

July Beans 🌱

We have had multiple days above the 200-day MA for the first time since 2023. That is a big deal.

Now finding some support on the 200-day MA (as it was once major resistance).

So that’s what bulls want to hold. Being above the 200-day signals the trend is shifting higher.

Next target still $11.04

Nov Beans 🌱

Still have not closed above the 200-day as we have rejected off of it for 2 weeks now.

Break above should escalate more upside.

Break below the 100-day MA (purple line) and we probably trigger a leg lower.

Next target still $10.78-82

Continuous Chicago Wheat 🌾

Despite July wheat posting new lows, the continuous chart’s support still remains in tact.

This has acted as major support for 14 months now.

A bounce here soon would make sense.

July Chicago 🌾

Despite new lows, channel support still held.

Again, a bounce would make sense.

July KC 🌾

Not a great look for KC. We broke that trendline support for the first time.

However, with Chicago still holding support I could see this turning into somewhat of a bear trap.

Regardless if we found a bottom or not, we are closer to putting in lows than putting highs.


Past Sell or Protection Signals

We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.

April 10th: 🌽 

Old crop corn sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


March 19th: 🐮 

Cattle hedge & sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Feb 18th: 🌽 🌾 

Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱 

Corn & beans old crop sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW

Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱 

Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Jan 2nd: 🐮 

Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Dec 11th: 🌽

Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA

CLICK HERE TO VIEW

Oct 2nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 30th: 🌽 

Corn protection signal at $4.23-26

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 27th: 🌱 

Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 13th: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $5.98

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

May 22nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Want to Talk?

Our phones are open 24/7 for you guys if you ever need anything or want to discuss your operation.

(605) 295-3100

sfrost@dailymarketminute.com


Hedge Account

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3/28/25

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Previous
Previous

PLANTING & FIRST NOTICE DAY PRESSURE. CORN CLOSE TO BOTTOM?

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HOW OFTEN DOES CORN NOT BREAK APRIL HIGHS?