APPROACHING KEY TIME PERIOD FOR GRAINS

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Fast planting leads to no concerns

  • Fast planting opens drought card further

  • Demand is still solid

  • See opportunities in months ahead

  • Arguement for raised corn exports

  • If demand grows and yield falls..

  • Incredible upside possibilities & scary low downside

  • Seasonals often times work

  • Need to watch the spread.. the wider spread the more dangerous free DP. Never use free DP with an inverse

  • What is your local market? Where is your best market?

  • How to determine what to do with basis

  • Next 8 weeks are key time frame for sales

  • Be able to add a floor at anytime

  • Beans at 100-day MA must hold (chart below)*

  • Corn bouncing at downside target (chart below)*

Listen to today’s audio below

Want to talk? (605)295-3100

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CHARTS

July Corn 🌽

Bouncing perfectly at the golden zone like we mentioned we should.

I think we hold this area.

Not going to go over everything again today. I went over 3 detailed exact reasons why I think we would find a bottom here.

If you missed it: CLICK HERE TO VIEW

Dec Corn 🌽

We failed to hold the golden zone.

However, the chart is still in tact.

Why?

We are bouncing exactly at the 78.6% retracement of this recent rally.

Corn also bounced exactly at the 78.6% retracement of the entire Dec-Feb rally. (Look at 2nd chart for comparison).

Big level I’d like to think we will hold.

Here is the chart with the retracements from the entire Dec to Feb rally.

Just like now, we found support right at the 78.6% level.

July Beans 🌱

We broke below the 200-day MA which was disappointing.

However we are bouncing right at the 100-day MA now.

I drew arrows where the 100-day MA has acted as a key spot.

Need to hold here short term. If not we will probably drop down into the red key support box.

The red key support box also happens to be the golden zone retracment of this recent rally (50-61.8%)

Nov Beans 🌱

We broke below the 100-day MA.

Now sitting right above the key support box. Could easily drop to lower end of box but don’t have to.

I don’t see this as significant of close as long as July holds the 100-day MA.

Watching for July to lead the way.

July Chicago Wheat 🌾

Still holding this downward channel by a thread.

Not interested in sales until closer to the top of the channel as of now.

Continuous KC 🌾

Sitting at massive support.

Big spot for bulls to hold.


Past Sell or Protection Signals

We recently incorporated these. Here are our past signals.

April 10th: 🌽 

Old crop corn sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


March 19th: 🐮 

Cattle hedge & sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Feb 18th: 🌽 🌾 

Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱 

Corn & beans old crop sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW

Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱 

Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Jan 2nd: 🐮 

Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Dec 11th: 🌽

Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA

CLICK HERE TO VIEW

Oct 2nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 30th: 🌽 

Corn protection signal at $4.23-26

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 27th: 🌱 

Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 13th: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $5.98

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

May 22nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Want to Talk?

Our phones are open 24/7 for you guys if you ever need anything or want to discuss your operation.

(605) 295-3100

sfrost@dailymarketminute.com


Hedge Account

Interested in a hedge account? Use the link below to set up an account or shoot Jeremey a call at (605)295-3100.

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Check Out Past Updates

4/29/25

PLANTING & FIRST NOTICE DAY PRESSURE. CORN CLOSE TO BOTTOM?

Read More

4/28/25

CAPTURING INVERSE & SEASONAL PREPARATION

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4/25/25

HOW OFTEN DOES CORN NOT BREAK APRIL HIGHS?

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4/24/25

KNOW WHEN TO SELL. BEANS BREAK 200-DAY FIRST TIME IN 483 DAYS

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4/23/25

MONEY FLOW & DROUGHT CARDS

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4/22/25

CRUCIAL SPOT FOR CORN & BEANS

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4/21/25

NO PLANTING THREAT YET

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4/18/25

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES, BASIS CONTRACTS & STRATEGIES

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4/16/25

HOW YIELD IMPACTS CARRYOUT. MAJOR SPOT FOR SOYBEANS

Read More


4/15/25

TOTAL CHART BREAKDOWNS & TARGETS

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4/14/25

TECHNICAL SELLING IN GRAINS

Read More


4/11/25

SPECIFIC GRAIN MARKETING DECISIONS

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4/10/25

USDA REPORT. HOW THIS IMPACTS CORN

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4/9/25

TARIFFS GIVE. TARIFFS TAKE

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4/8/25

CORN’S DIVERGING STRENGTH

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4/7/25

SOLID PRICE ACTION DESPITE OUTSIDE FEAR

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4/4/25

CORN PRICE ACTION SPEAKS VOLUME. ANY HOPE LEFT FOR SOYBEANS?

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4/3/25

WHAT IS LEFT FOR CORN BEARS? TRADE WAR: CHARTS HOLDING SUPPORT

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4/2/25

SHOULD UNKNOWNS KEEP A FLOOR UNDER GRAIN PRICES?

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4/1/25

HOW DO ACRES IMPACT FUTURE OF THE GRAINS?

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3/31/25

USDA REPORT: NOW WHAT?

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3/28/25

ALL EYES ON USDA

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3/27/25

PRE-USDA POSITIONING. DON’T GIVE GRAIN AWAY

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3/26/25

HISTORY OF MARCH INTENTIONS. SOYBEANS UNDERVALUED?

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3/25/25

6 DAYS UNTIL MAJOR USDA REPORT

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3/24/25

HOW TO POSITION YOURSELF BEFORE PLANTING

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3/21/25

REASONS TO BE OPTIMISTIC IN GRAINS?

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3/20/25

WAS THAT THE BOTTOM IN CORN?

Read More


3/19/25

THE PATH HIGHER & THE DOWNSIDE RISKS IN GRAINS

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3/18/25

SEASONALS, CATTLE HEDGE, CHARTS & DROUGHT?

Read More


3/17/25

WHEAT RALLIES. DON’T GET BACKED INTO A CORNER

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3/14/25

MARCH 31ST REPORT THOUGHTS & WHAT’S NEXT FOR GRAINS

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3/13/25

EXPLAINING RE-OWNERSHIP VS COURAGE CALLS

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3/12/25

TARIFF FEARS. EU, CANADA, & ETHANOL

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3/11/25

USDA SNOOZE. RECORD FUND SELLING A CONCERN?

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3/10/25

USDA TOMORROW. GETTING COMFORTABLE IN MARKETING

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3/7/25

HOW TIGHT IS THE WORLD & US SITUATION?

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3/6/25

TARIFFS PUSHED BACK. FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES?

Read More

3/5/25

IS GRAINS BIGGEST RISK WEAK CRUDE & DEFLATION?

Read More
 

3/4/25

TRADE WAR BEGINS. 8TH DAY OF PAIN FOR GRAINS

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3/3/25

TARIFFS ON TOMORROW. BUY SIGNAL

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3/3/25

BUY SIGNAL

Read More


2/28/25

WHEN WILL THE BLEEDING STOP?

Read More


2/27/25

CORN AT CRITICAL SPOT. USDA ACRE REPORT. WAY TOO EARLY DROUGHT TALK

Read More

2/26/25

HISTORY SUGGESTS CORN TOP ISN’T IN? ACRE OUTLOOK TOMORROW

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2/25/25

POSITIVE CLOSE. WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT USDA OUTLOOK

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2/24/25

USDA OUTLOOK, FIRST NOTICE DAY & BRAZIL

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2/21/25

WHAT TO EXPECT MOVING FORWARD IN GRAINS

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2/20/25

FIRST NOTICE DAY CONCERNS. MASSIVE CORN ACRES OR NOT?

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2/19/25

HOW TIGHT IS THE CORN SITUATION?

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2/18/25

MORE DETAILS ON TODAYS SELL SIGNAL

Read More
 

2/18/25

OLD CROP KC WHEAT & CORN SELL SIGNAL

Read More


2/14/25

WHEAT BREAKING OUT ON WEATHER RISK. TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALS

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2/12/25

GLOBAL GRAIN SITUATION, ACRE TALK, CHARTS & MORE

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2/11/25

USDA: NOT A BEARISH REPORT. DISAPPOINTING PRICE ACTION

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2/10/25

USDA TOMORROW. LONG TERM PATH FOR SUB 10% CORN STOCKS TO USE?

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2/7/25

WHY WOULD THE FUNDS EXIT THEIR LONGS?

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2/6/25

WHEAT FINALLY CATCHING A BID

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2/5/25

COMPLETE THOUGHTS ON MARKETS: BACK & FORTH DISCUSSION

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2/4/25

STRONG JANUARY LEAD TO STRONG YEAR? TARIFFS, CHARTS & MORE

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2/3/25

TARIFFS PUSHED BACK

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1/31/25

TARIFF NEWS ALL OVER THE PLACE. ARE YOU PREPARED FOR POSSIBILITIES?

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1/30/25

WHEAT BULL ARGUMENT. TRUMP ADDS TARIFFS

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1/29/25

CORN APPROACHES $5.00

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1/28/25

TARIFFS, CORN FUNDS, SOUTH AMERICA & MORE

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1/27/25

HEALTHY CORRECTION WE TALKED ABOUT & TARIFF NEWS

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1/24/25

GRAINS DUE FOR SHORT TERM CORRECTION?

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1/23/25

OUR ENTIRE NEW CROP SALES THOUGHTS & OLD CROP SELL SIGNAL

Read More

1/22/25

GRAINS TAKE A BREATHER. IS CORN IN A BULL OR BEAR MARKET?

Read More

1/21/25

HUGE DAY IN GRAINS. WHAT TO DO WITH OLD CROP VS NEW CROP

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1/20/25

VIDEO CHART UPDATE

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1/17/25

TRUMP, CHINA, ARGY & USING THE SPREADS INVERSE

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1/16/25

OLD CROP LEADS US LOWER. MARKETING THOUGHTS

Read More
 

1/15/25

SIGNAL & HEDGE ALERT QUESTIONS EXPLAINED. IS $6 CORN EVEN POSSIBLE?

Read More
 

1/14/25

MORE DETAILS ON TODAYS HEDGE ALERT & SELL SIGNAL

Read More

 

1/14/25

CORN & SOYBEANS HEDGE ALERT/SELL SIGNAL

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1/13/25

USDA GAME CHANGER OR NOT?

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1/10/25

BULLISH USDA FOR CORN & BEANS

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1/9/25

USDA OUT TOMORROW

Read More

1/8/25

2 DAYS UNTIL USDA. BE PREPARED

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1/7/25

THE HISTORY OF THE JAN USDA & MORE

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1/6/25

MAJOR USDA REPORT FRIDAY

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1/3/25

UGLY DAY ACROSS THE GRAINS

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1/2/25

LONG TERM CORN UPTREND? JANUARY DROP OFF IN BEANS? LONG TERM WHEAT FACTORS

Read More 

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THE CASE AGAINST A FEB TOP IN CORN

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PLANTING & FIRST NOTICE DAY PRESSURE. CORN CLOSE TO BOTTOM?