GRAINS FLYING BLIND

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Still like protecting these cattle levels

  • Beans continue to hold $10.00

  • Corn holding golden zone (chart below)*

  • Feeling US sold massive amount of corn

  • There is a chance we don’t see a USDA report until January. If so it could be a huge market mover

  • Chatter of corn yields a lot worse than last year

  • Markets are scary with the unknowns

  • Could argue prices a lot higher or lower

  • Options dirt cheap. Calls could be cheaper than storage in a lot of cases

  • Don’t like selling anything right now

  • Could see 30-50 cent dead cat bounce in wheat sometime

  • Would rather own wheat than sell here

  • Do ags actually matter in the trade war or is it just the rare earth minerals?

  • Why is basis firming in the gut of harvest?

  • Why haven’t beans fell apart last few days?

  • There are signs that the crop might not be as large as advertised

  • You don’t get many opportunities to add these cheap of floors or to re-own this cheap

  • China just made biggest weather bet of all-time

  • If you have to price soybeans by the end of month

  • If you have corn basis contract

  • Should you make new crop sales?

Listen to today’s audio below

Want to talk? (605)295-3100

CORN CHART

Dec Corn 🌽

So far we are bouncing right in the golden zone (50-61.8% retracement of the entire rally off contract lows).

The 61.8% level is the most common level. However, we hit the 50% level then bounced. Which is deep enough for a standard correction.

So perhaps that was the bottom.

Either way, to remain bullish we need to hold $4.07 (which I personally think we will).

That $4.07 level also lines up with the August point of control. Meaning that level had the most volume during August. So that adds even more support and makes me think we’ll that level.

First upside target is still $4.35 for now.


Past Sell or Protection Signals

Oct 13th: 🐮 

Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW

Aug 22nd: 🌱

Soybean sell signal & hedge alert.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


July 31st: 🐮 

Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


July 10th: 🐮 

Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW

June 5th: 🐮 

Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


June 2nd: 🌾

MPLS wheat sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


April 10th: 🌽 

Old crop corn sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


March 19th: 🐮 

Cattle hedge & sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Feb 18th: 🌽 🌾 

Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱 

Corn & beans old crop sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW

Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱 

Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Jan 2nd: 🐮 

Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Dec 11th: 🌽

Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA

CLICK HERE TO VIEW

Oct 2nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 30th: 🌽 

Corn protection signal at $4.23-26

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 27th: 🌱 

Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

Sep 13th: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal at $5.98

CLICK HERE TO VIEW
 

May 22nd: 🌾 

Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Want to Talk?

Our phones are open 24/7 for you guys if you ever need anything or want to discuss your operation.

(605) 295-3100

sfrost@dailymarketminute.com


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CORN AT KEY SPOT & POSSIBLE SCENARIOS

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