GRAINS BEAT UP AGAIN
AUDIO COMMENTARY
Markets beat up across board
More war headlines
There just isn’t anything to feed bulls
Corn fails key support
Market doesn’t know if China is a game changer yet or not
Demand still isn’t slowing down
The balance sheet still has unknowns
Bean oil continues to make new highs
Options getting cheaper
If you are uncomfortable, grab a floor
Wheat damage priced in for now, but what will happen to production down the road?
Dec corn holding better than July
China wants this war over
What will forecasts look like in June?
If you have to sell off the combine you need to be more proactive than those who don’t
China could end up being a material change
When is the corn buy signal negated? (details below)*
Corn needs back above $4.50 fast (chart below)*
Listen to today’s audio below
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CORN CHARTS
July Corn 🌽
We broke that key $4.50 support we’ve been talking about.
That is not a good sign at all.
So now what?
Corn needs to get back above $4.50 asap.
The typical rule of thumb is 2 days.
If we close below that 61.8% retracement from the highs down to contract lows, and key support for 2 days in a row, then the buy alert becomes invalid, as it would suggest we could be in for further downside. We would then want to reduce our risk.
Today was the end of the month, so that can sometimes add pressure.
If we break back above $4.50 on Monday, then this could possibly be a bear trap. Head fakes can happen often in a headline-driven market such as this one.
But if we do not get back above key support right away, there is plenty of downside risk. Given we are below key support.
Front Month Corn 🌽
Same story here.
We need back above that major trendline support we’ve respected since the harvest lows as soon as possible for this to be considered a bear trap.
If we cannot do so, there is plenty of downside risk.
Want to Talk?
Our phones are open 24/7 for you guys if you ever need anything or want to discuss your operation.
Jeremey & Office: (806)484-1214
Sebastian: (605)280-1186
Email: sfrost@dailymarketminute.com
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