WHAT OPPORTUNITIES ARE THE MARKETS GIVING YOU?
AUDIO COMMENTARY
Like having cattle inputs locked in & keep puts under this market
Cattle at big spot (chart below)*
Why we can get basis dumps on Fridays
Pre hedging weakness to end the day
Soybeans reject key spot (chart below)*
Could China buy beans with shutdown?
We won’t know what USDA did with the extra +200 million bushels of supply on the balance sheet
Playing a game where we don’t know the rules
These unknowns with shutdown will create volatility
The market is giving you a good opportunity to protect with cheap options
Implied volatility is cheaper than interest
Big Ag can’t manipulate some tools. Use them
Don’t give up your advantage to Big Ag
Maybe nothing happens the next 6 months, but implied volatility is giving you a strategy to use
Waiting for a reason to make sales
No where close to selling wheat
What is the right business decision in wheat?
Still like wheat down here (chart below)*
Listen to today’s audio below
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BEANS, CATTLE, & WHEAT CHART
Nov Beans 🌱
We rejected right off the golden zone. That is not what bulls want to see.
Because unless we clear that purple box, this bounce is seen as nothing more than just a relief bounce.
If you notice on the summer sell off, both of the mini bounces rejected right off the 61.8% retracement before ultimately heading lower.
Dec Live Cattle 🐮
We are fighting to hold on to the 50-day MA.
This has acted as a major floor this entire run.
If we are going to bounce, it needs to here. If we break below, it could spark a pretty large leg lower.
The only time we broke below the 50-day was back in April. We then proceeded to come down and test the 100-day MA.
If we break below the 50-day, we could come all the way down to the 100-day MA.
That 100-day MA also perfectly aligns with the golden zone retracement from the entire rally since June.
If we get the correction, that box is our point of interest to look to re-own etc.
Dec Wheat 🌾
Wheat sucks. But I still think we catch a bid down here whether we make another low before hand or not.
We are coiling up in this falling wedge pattern. Waiting for a break out.
The RSI has been printing bullish divergence for over a month now.
Past Sell or Protection Signals
Aug 22nd: 🌱
Soybean sell signal & hedge alert.
July 31st: 🐮
Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.
July 10th: 🐮
Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
June 5th: 🐮
Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.
June 2nd: 🌾
MPLS wheat sell signal.
April 10th: 🌽
Old crop corn sell signal.
March 19th: 🐮
Cattle hedge & sell signal.
Feb 18th: 🌽 🌾
Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.
Jan 23rd: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans old crop sell signal.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Jan 15th: 🌽 🌱
Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.
Jan 2nd: 🐮
Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.
Dec 11th: 🌽
Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA
CLICK HERE TO VIEW
Oct 2nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target
Sep 30th: 🌽
Corn protection signal at $4.23-26
Sep 27th: 🌱
Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65
Sep 13th: 🌾
Wheat sell signal at $5.98
May 22nd: 🌾
Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00
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