BALANCING UNKNOWN PRICE POTENTIAL

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • War and weather unknown

  • Impacts of war could take a while to resolve

  • Great action in the grains

  • First close over $5.00 for Dec corn

  • Puts and riding the wave higher

  • 2nd best corn inspections of year

  • Have marketing align with possibilities

  • Having cheap stuff in case things get wild

  • Possible hedging ideas

  • Don’t want to lock in grains and not lock in your inputs. Want to lock in profits

  • Realize the upside potential but do not do absolutely nothing

  • Balance and finding your comfort level

  • Planting continues to run ahead of pace

  • Inching closer to China meeting

  • Some say it might make more sense for China to buy some corn vs old crop soybeans

  • USDA report out next week

  • Funds near record long the ag market

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CHARTS

Dec Corn 🌽

Got the breakout.

Looking like we could now have some room to run.

Target still remains at $5.12 to $5.15

Which is the contract highs and golden fib.

July Corn 🌽

Also potentially got the breakout.

Next target remains around $4.90 to $5.00

$4.90 is 61.8% of contract lows to contract highs and is the highs from last April.

$5.00 is the highs from last February.

Front Month Chart 🌽

We broke above the last retracement level from the harvest lows up to the Feb 2025 highs.

Next big resistance is the highs from last Feb at $5.00

Nov Beans 🌱

We got the break out last week, now running.

The golden fib is $12.09 so that is the target for now.

A secondary target would be the 200% extension at $12.30

We are showing some potential bearish divergence, so might want to be looking to reward here soon as we get closer to the targets.

July Beans 🌱

Finally broke out of the chop.

We closed above the 61.8% retracement of the entire sell off. Good sign as that means this is likely not some dead cat bounce but rather something bigger.

Next resistance is the 78.6% level at $12.30

After that it’s the recent highs at $12.50

Front Month Chart 🌱

If we look at the front month chart, $12.50 was a prior big area of both support and resistance.

So if we run up to this level, it would also align with July beans re-testing those highs from March.

July KC 🌾

Struggling at the first target and $7.00

Like we’ve talked about plenty of times, it’s the last retracement level up to contract highs. It was the golden fib as well.

If we can break above here, the next big target is $7.45 to $7.50 and those contract highs.


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Email: sfrost@dailymarketminute.com


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Old crop & new crop beans sell signal & hedge alert.

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KC wheat sell signal & hedge alert.

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Old crop corn & soybean sell signal & hedge alert.

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NEXT 30-60 DAYS IS CRITICAL