YIELD DECLINING INTO USDA REPORT?

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Signs of correction or top in cattle

  • We could see massive correction yet still remain in a bull market in cattle

  • Why we like short term puts in cattle

  • Corn made new high for move failed at $4.25

  • USDA numbers out next week

  • Bears think feed demand overstated

  • Demand monster in corn, no China demand in beans

  • Still see wheat at area of value

  • Wheat should try to get acres here

  • A lot of disease being reported

  • Will demand offset supply loss?

  • Deal with China is biggest bullish card

  • If youโ€™re aggressive in sales, have inputs locked in

  • Have a plan for stuff you have to move within the next 1-3 months

  • Implied volatility and options are cheap

Listen to todays audio below

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CORN & BEAN CHARTS

Dec Corn ๐ŸŒฝ

If we break above $4.25 I think $4.35 is our next stop.

$4.25 is 38.2% retracement up to the Feb highs.

The next level is $4.35 at the 50% retracement.

That is going to be our target to de-risk.

It is also support from spring.

Nov Beans ๐ŸŒฑ

I am looking for a bounce anywhere in this blue box. Which is 50-61.8% of the entire rally from $9.80

We tapped the box yesterday at the 50% retracement of the entire rally.

However, the 61.8% level is more common. So not ruling out testing the bottom of the box.

Regardless, the blue box is a must hold level to keep our bias remaining higher.


Past Sell or Protection Signals

Aug 22nd: ๐ŸŒฑ

Soybean sell signal & hedge alert.

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July 31st: ๐Ÿฎ 

Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.

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July 10th: ๐Ÿฎ 

Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.

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June 5th: ๐Ÿฎ 

Cattle sell signal & hedge alert.

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June 2nd: ๐ŸŒพ

MPLS wheat sell signal.

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April 10th: ๐ŸŒฝ 

Old crop corn sell signal.

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March 19th: ๐Ÿฎ 

Cattle hedge & sell signal.

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Feb 18th: ๐ŸŒฝ ๐ŸŒพ 

Old crop KC wheat & old crop corn signal.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Jan 23rd: ๐ŸŒฝ ๐ŸŒฑ 

Corn & beans old crop sell signal.

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Jan 15th: ๐ŸŒฝ ๐ŸŒฑ 

Corn & beans hedge alert/sell signal.

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Jan 2nd: ๐Ÿฎ 

Cattle hedge alert at new all-time highs & target.

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Dec 11th: ๐ŸŒฝ

Corn sell signal at $4.51 200-day MA

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Oct 2nd: ๐ŸŒพ 

Wheat sell signal at $6.12 target

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Sep 30th: ๐ŸŒฝ 

Corn protection signal at $4.23-26

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Sep 27th: ๐ŸŒฑ 

Soybean sell & protection signal at $10.65

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Sep 13th: ๐ŸŒพ 

Wheat sell signal at $5.98

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May 22nd: ๐ŸŒพ 

Wheat sell signal when wheat traded +$7.00

CLICK HERE TO VIEW


Want to Talk?

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HOW BIG OF AN IMPACT DID USDA MAKE?

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SEASONAL SEP BOTTOM?