USDA WILD CARD TOMORROW
AUDIO COMMENTARY
Crude oil new high close
Estimated 4 million less corn vs last year
The acreage survey was done before the war & fertilizer
Part of reason for seasonal rally is due to acres tending to increase as year goes on
Corn has traded higher on this report for 5 years in a row
Crude oil over $100 for first time since 2022
Corn & wheat demand still strong
Going to be pretty wet next 2 weeks
Odds say tomorrow’s numbers won’t be very close to the final numbers
What happened to crude & corn in 2008?
Crude can go straight up and straight down
Longer term the economy can’t afford crude to stay above $100 for a long time
Tale of two charts in beans new vs old crop
New high close in MPLS wheat
Could MPLS continue to gain on other wheats?
Options could be worth less after USDA report as implied volatility could drop
Trying to add to your bottom line
Get comfortable with the extremes
USDA estimates below*
Listen to today’s audio below
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