USDA’S FIX & BRAZIL ELECTION SHOCKS

AUDIO COMMENTARY

  • Cattle gapped open higher but faded

  • How to protect the cattle rally

  • USDA says they screwed up Sep numbers

  • USDA did not change the Oct numbers

  • This adds more uncertainty to USDA

  • Why did the USDA say this?

  • Still feels like yield is overstated

  • Watch the spreads as a hint at harvest

  • Brazil election shocked the market

  • Bean ran well off the lows and held support

  • Politics often just few day wonders

  • Risk of better bean yields

  • What to watch for clues in this market

  • Is China going to buy anything else?

  • Could have large swings on balance sheets

  • Will funds want to jump back in?

  • Don’t let Big Ag take advantage of you

  • Do not give grain away on DP

  • Wheat options are dirt cheap now

  • There is world issues with wheat and funds short

  • If you’re back into a corner in marketing

  • Soybean chart breakdown below audio*

Listen to today’s audio below

10-26-2026

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Office: (806)484-1214

SOYBEAN CHARTS

Jan Beans 🌱

Held the support box despite the weakness.

Was not the worst close either as we bounced nicely off the lows. Finding support right where we need to at the 61.8% retracement down to the August lows. Re-testing the highs from July.

This is still viewed as support and an area where we would expect us to find life.

However, if we do not hold this box there is a large gap of air to the downside.

Right now we are sitting at a volume shelf, with zero volume below this level. So failure to hold this level could result in us going down to test the May highs. Which is the next volume shelf and the next set of retracements being the 78.6% level.

Nov Beans 🌱

Very similar set up.

We still held the support box. This is still the point of interest to carve out some lows.

However, we need to continue to hold here or it likely opens the door down towards that $12.00 level and the May highs.

Which again would be the next retracement (78.6%) and the next volume shelf.

So must hold spot for soybeans short term.


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FIRST SIGN OF LIFE IN GRAINS